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Calculating Profit Using ARV: A Case Study in California

Theory is important, but execution is what matters. To truly understand how After Repair Value (ARV) and hard money financing interact to create profit, let's walk through a hypothetical—but highly realistic—fix-and-flip case study in Orange County, California.

The Deal and The Numbers

An investor finds a distressed 3-bedroom home in Anaheim. The negotiated purchase price is $600,000. Based on comparable sales of fully renovated homes, the ARV is determined to be $850,000. The estimated rehab cost is $75,000.

The hard money lender offers 80% of the purchase price and 100% of the rehab costs. The investor brings a $120,000 down payment plus closing costs.

Calculating the Net Profit

The project takes 4 months. The investor pays $16,000 in interest and holding costs over that time. After completing the rehab, they sell the home for the $850,000 ARV.

Deducting the purchase price, rehab, hard money costs, and the 6% agent commissions on the sale ($51,000), the investor walks away with a gross profit of approximately $108,000 on a 4-month project.

Running detailed, conservative numbers before acquiring a property is the hallmark of a professional investor. Let the ARV dictate the deal.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the biggest risk in this calculation?

Going over budget on the rehab or the market softening during the project, resulting in a sale price below the initial ARV estimate.

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